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Conservatives Shouldn't Get Cocky

There's a huge buzz in the conservative community. Republicans are finally on board with John McCain's candidacy, what with his excellent accounting of himself at Rick Warren's Civil Forum at Saddleback and the addition of Sarah Palin to the ticket.

We should feel excited, even proud to be Republicans again. We appear to have finally found our way, recovering from the mistakes that were made which led to the Democrats taking over both houses of congress in 2006. But lately I've been sensing a certain feeling of cockiness. Democrats, we are told, are running scared. Palin has the Obama camp shaking in their collective boots, so it is said. Polls do show that the race is very close, which leads many to believe that it is only a matter of time before McCain overcomes Obama's slight lead and takes off like a rocket. That may very well be true. We all certainly hope that this will come to pass.

However, keep in mind that there are less than 60 days left until the general election. Anything can happen. Sarah Palin, although a truly dynamic figure who has added spark to a campaign led by a not altogether exciting 72 year old politician, is still untested. She has yet to debate Joe Biden, and her handlers are keeping her as far away from the press as possible. Rick Davis, appearing on Fox News Sunday, indicated that they will determine when and if Palin does any interviews. This is understandable, given Palin's treatment by the leftist mainstream media. But until we can get a more in-depth look at her and hear her address issues such as foreign policy, we cannot assume she is the weight that will tip the scale to victory in November.

Keep in mind also, that there are still many disgruntled Americans who feel that electing John McCain is giving us another four years of George W. Bush. Most of them are angry, bitter Democrats who are disgruntled about the war. They just want to cleanse Washington of what they believe is the stench of failed Republican policies. And right now, with many people hurting financially, they don't think Republicans can pull us out of the economic malaise.

Neither candidate has been substantive about the issues and what they are going to do to turn things around. We do know, however, that Obama would raise taxes, the hallmark of liberal answers to all fiscal problems. McCain would keep taxes low, as the conservative philosophy is that government actually gains more money when they let people keep more of what they earn.

One would assume that most critical thinking Americans would understand this, but in 2008, things are different. We cannot count on critical thinkers to go to to the polls this November. This year, the election will be based on emotion more than anything else. Despite her conservative credentials, Sarah Palin was put on the ticket to invigorate the conservative base, and much of that energy has manifested itself in emotions. I'm not embarrassed to admit that I welled-up with emotion when she was announced as McCain's running mate. Tom Ridge, Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty or Bobby Jindal would not have elicited that kind of response.

The Democrats, as stated earlier are also very emotional. Their emotions, however, are anger and hatred. Anger at having lost two hard fought elections to the party diametrically opposed to everything they stand for and hatred directed at George W. Bush. And anger can be a powerful tool when directed like a laser beam at its target.

Since 2006, that anger has resulted in the Democrats adding 2 million to voter rolls in the 28 states that register voters according to party affiliation. The Republicans have lost nearly 344,000 thousand voters in the same states. Despite the high most Republicans are on right now as we head into the last eight weeks of this election, the momentum is still with the Democrats.

I am not saying we are going to lose this election by any stretch of the imagination. It's a very close race, and there are indications that McCain could get a very big bounce in the polls from the Republican National Convention. Should McCain acquit himself well in the upcoming debates, should Palin handle herself well against Joe Biden on such issues as foreign policy and should she make her case to the media, we can win this thing.

But we cannot be arrogant, and we cannot assume that Obama's campaign is going to suddenly collapse. Obama has dodged many shots to his character, lack of experience, etc., but to many, he is still the messiah who is going to save not only the United States, but the world.

So we need to remain on guard. We need to proceed with this election being confident, but not cocky.

It's not over till the polls close on November 4th.

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